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Global Markets Analysis – 19 March 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周三 抵抗性下跌延续中

昨日内盘, 马盘和油脂商品低开上冲,盘中出现短暂反弹,一度红盘,终盘期价有所回落,最终收盘为带上影线的阴阳“倒锤头”K线(豆油阴K 棕榈阳K 马盘十字星),表现为短暂的小反弹抵抗动作无效,上方压力依然存在,调整行情仍未结束。

昨日晚间美盘黄豆,美豆油出现反弹上涨,其中美大豆反弹幅度较大,大有率先转身向上意思,美豆油虽红盘报收,但涨幅较小,仍属于正常回落中的持续形态范畴。 值得一提的是美大豆,密切关注该反身动作的真实性。

由于昨日晚间美盘大豆,豆油均出现上涨,今天早盘受外围市场影响,大陆内盘和马盘油脂商品均小幅跳空高开, 盘中多头护盘,抵抗动作较为明显。

小结:除美大豆外,油脂类商品回落整理延续中,上方5天 10 天均线有所回落,下方40天 60天均线有所上行,油脂商品期价处于二者之间,表现为上有压力下有支撑,该类商品寻找有效技术支撑动作仍在进行中,期价在何处企稳仍是我们所关注的焦点。未明朗前趋势操作者继续观望,耐心等待回抽行情企稳后多单再接回的机会。 而波段,短线操作者仍可短空操作,但空单获利就跑,不能太贪。在日图表均线多头排列情况下所进行的回落整理,随时都有可能出现短暂反弹,这点要引起短线空单操作者的时刻警惕,逆向单操作难度较大,波段 短线激进操作者不能马虎大意。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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