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Global Market Wrap – 10 December 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周二 上冲未果 再次回到震荡


内盘棕榈油1405合约昨天小阳K线上涨报收,略带上影线,期价运行于多层均线之中,上有压力下有支撑现象明显,这与昨日带上影的阳K线所给技术语言一致。 目前期价依旧在上周四大阴K线笼罩之中,并没有击破阴K线高低点的任何一方, 震荡形态依旧。

马盘毛棕榈油昨天早盘有上冲表现,但在前高位置交头趋于谨慎,多头后续资金没有跟上,继而出现部分多头在高点位置纷纷减仓现象,最后形成冲高回落态势。周二马棕榈油局将公布11月份的库存量、产量、出口量等诸多官方数据, 重要数据公布前交易趋于谨慎,马盘的昨天表现也自然可以理解, 马棕榈油基准2月合约昨日阴K线报收,并带上影线,表明上方依然存在压力,今天恐将稍弱走势。

大陆豆油昨日现货价格:哈尔滨地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7700元/吨。大连地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7400元/吨。铁岭地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7320元/吨。天津地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7400-7500元/吨。秦皇岛地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7500元/吨。日照地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7480-7500元/吨。华东地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价集中7530-7550元/吨。广州地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7350元/吨。福建地区出厂报价:一级豆油报价7300元/吨。 基本保持稳定。

大陆棕榈油现货价格:24°棕榈油港口参考报价:天津地区工厂报价6080元/吨。日照地区工厂报价6100元/吨。张家港地区工厂报价6050元/吨。广州地区工厂报价6220元/吨。福建厦门地区工厂报价6100元/吨。 平均整体上涨50元/吨。

综述以及个人看法: 马棕榈油局数据不明朗前,今天油脂类恐将震荡偏弱整理走势,马盘 内盘 棕榈油期价仍处于周图表原下降趋势线60周位置徘徊,仍未给出明确信号。密切关注数据公布的结果对盘面的影响。趋势性操作者前期底单继续持有。 稳健操作者若昨日多单已经减仓入袋,那就先场外观望。 激进操作者可于今天调整时候,逢低适量尝试买进,下方回调空间应该不会很大。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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