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Global Market Wrap – 10 January 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

日周五 美将有重要数据公布

美国劳工部将于1月10日公布去年12月份非农就业数据报告, 而美国农业部也将公布月度供需报告以及2013年度大豆产量和库存等数据,数据出炉前商品市场交易清淡而谨慎。

现货价格:仅日国内四级豆油现货报价稳中有跌,沿海港口四级豆油报价主要集中6600–6650元/吨。 24度棕榈油1.9日国内各港口交货价格基本稳定,天津港为5780,山东日照港为5850,江苏连云港为5800,浙江宁波港为6000元/吨。

昨日内盘油脂期货市场,豆油棕榈油1405合约,短暂反弹收阳,表现为弱势空头格局下的短暂停顿整理,而马盘毛棕榈油基准3月合约下破2550之后,该位置已经由原来的技术支撑转变为阻挡,今天期价在该位置下方继续保持震荡整理状态。

美原油连遭受美元上涨的当头一棒之后,已经连续多日保持下跌,目前期价在2013.11.27日的前低位置震荡,若该位置支撑有效则技术上有形成双底可能,若支撑无效,则会继续滑落一段才产生止跌反弹。 昨天美豆油短暂上涨收阳K线,但单个的阳K线不足说明已经止跌,唯有形成错列向上的2根以上的阳K线,才能说明有反弹迹象。

小结: 今天1月10日周五又恰逢周末,美国将有重要数据公布,在公布之前,期货市场保持谨慎,多空主力相互换手调整手中仓位来规避风险,交投略显清淡,观望气氛浓厚,今天在操作上,短线操作者今天不建议留仓过夜, 等待数据公布之后的市场新的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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