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Global Market Wrap – 11 February 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周二 美报告低于预期 油脂商品短暂回落

周一美国农业部USDA公布2013/2014大豆结转库存,将预估值维持1.5亿蒲式耳不变,此前市场普遍预期结转库存将下调至1.43亿蒲式耳以下。投资人士期待中的利多没在报告中得到体现,市场失望情绪令昨晚美盘大豆 豆油冲高回落。

周二大陆内盘油脂类商品,今天早盘普遍低开,短线出现整理态势, 期价在周一阳K线右侧短暂回落, 技术上只要周一的阳K线不被吞没,则反弹行情延续中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月合约昨天突破60天线的压制,并且一举突破1.23日前高2604位置, 终盘中阳报收于2616, 受外围市场影响, 今天短线的整理不可避免。

小结: 昨天内盘 马盘 油脂类商品均中阳上涨收盘,盘中表现为增仓上行,多头主力新进场迹象明显。 考虑到主力持仓成本较高, 因此今天短暂的整理,回落幅度应该不会很大。 今天操作上: 短线操作手法熟练者可逢高部分多单平仓,回落下来再多单买进以摊低持仓成本。 操作手法不熟练者—-那就大智若愚般多单持仓不动。 今天市场有所回落整理在所难免,但整体反弹走势并没遭到技术性破话前,我们依然保持反弹观点不变。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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