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Global Market Wrap – 14 January 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

日周二 马盘停盘 内盘交投清淡

美元指数昨天收阴,短暂收日图表60天线支撑,只有下破支撑位80.40 ,后期下跌空间才能被打开, 是否下破密切关注。

美豆油2连阳上涨后昨天高开低走收阴,没有形成连续错列的阳K线反弹态势,但短线止跌迹象初露,呈现连续4天的横盘状态, 由原来的连续下跌转为横盘,后市若要反弹尚需成交量的配合。

美黄豆连昨天带下影中阳上涨收盘,反弹迹象较为明显。

马盘毛棕榈油昨天昨天低开低走,该品种补跌迹象依然较为明显。今天停盘休息。

内盘豆油棕榈油昨天高开低走, 今天早盘低开高走,期价呈5天连续横盘并没再创新低,止跌迹象初显, 由于马盘今日停盘,在缺失日内指引情况下交投略显清淡。

内盘豆粕昨天下跌收阴,今天高开收阳追随美黄豆上涨。

小结:油脂类商品由原先的连续下跌转为横盘,但明显的反弹上涨的动能仍未出现, 所以先以短暂震荡止跌看待。 操作上前期平多反空后,在上周五空单也已平仓,多空单都已平仓情况下的交易者场外继续观望。 短线激进者按照震荡整理状态—-高开放空,低开进多的震荡行情下的操作模式日内短线交易, 多空单均不建议留仓过夜。等待美元明确的下破后对商品下跌压力的减轻情况出现。 后市油脂类商品走势节奏细节关注焦点在于:1.是波段性下跌之后转为目前横盘止跌然后出现直接上涨反弹? 2.还是短暂止跌然后再继续下滑一段时间,待到此波下跌整理达到最佳状态时才出现下一波段性的上涨反弹?

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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