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Global Market Wrap – 17 December 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周二 弱势整理中 低买高卖 短线操作

周二油脂类市场消息面依然平静,油脂现货价格跟随期货市场有20-100元不等的下跌。

周一马来西亚毛棕榈油基准2月合约呈探底回升走势,终盘以带下影线小阳收盘,符合我们“长阴之后右下角小阳收盘”的预期,基本按照分时图表技术信号走势。红K线出现后,今天预防盘中有上冲回落走势可能。

内盘油脂类昨天走势略弱,棕榈油1405合约上周五的大阴棒如一根钉子,在原箱体下沿位置(6180一线)钉下去,箱体被击破一个大洞,期价掉落于箱体下方,期价只要在箱体下方运行,我们中线只能看空,后市只有当期价再站回箱体下沿之上时候,我们才能从新以看多对待。 昨天内盘油脂走势与分时图表技术信号出现差异,空头资金刻意打压迹象明显,今天跳涨开盘修复昨天极端走势。

小结: 由于对美国宽松货币政策QE的退出担忧, 美元下跌压力减轻,但商品市场压力却增强, 内盘商品市场各类商品均有不同程度下跌,油脂类商品也不列外。中线技术破位后转为空头弱势看待,此波调整时间的长短目前还不能判断,只有等这波调整结束后,市场才能重拾升势。趋势交易者继续耐心忍耐。 稳健交易者空仓观望。激进交易者昨天短多平仓, 阳K线出现,逢高日内短空。 尽量多空单子都不过夜。 以快手法短线操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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