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Global Market Wrap – 23 January 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周四 长阳突破平台后 量能配合不理想

昨天马盘毛棕榈油基准4月合约冲高见到2597后发生回落,收盘为带上下影线的小阴K线。K线技术语言表明上有阻挡,下有支撑。 而昨天提到的60天线的的位置恰好为2596.40左右,表明该位置的技术阻挡短线有效,今天期价在该位置之下将继续震荡运行,同时积蓄能力, 只有该位置被有效上破,后市反弹空间才能被有效打开。 后市关注该位置市场表现。

内盘油脂类商品 豆油 棕榈油1405合约,在周一长阳之后,已经连续2天在其右上角下蹲整理, 其目的是技术上修复周一长阳因上涨过快过猛而造成的短线分时图超买现象, 今天是第三天,短线操作策略上逢小阴K线低点补仓买入多单持有, 后市我们短线仍以反弹看待。 长阳下端设置为多单止损位,谨防长阳的平台突破为假突破。

小结:油脂类商品做中期下降趋势下的短线反弹, 从本周前几天盘面观察,由于量能配合不理想, 反弹力度不是很大,因此反弹的高度思维上我们降低一个级别, 先别期望太高, 所持多单谨慎中持有,谨防反弹之后仍有下一波的再次回落。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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