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Global Market Wrap – 24 December 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周二 内盘马盘油脂走势出现分化

昨天内盘油脂类早盘开盘后,依然保持弱势整理格局,期价曾一度大幅度滑落,并创出近几日新低, 而马来西亚毛棕榈油开盘之后,并未受内盘油脂下跌影响,仅仅开盘低开,盘中出现低开高斗迹象,并且期价弥补了 12月12日与12月13日之间的跳空缺口,尾盘中阳报收,反而带动了大陆内盘油脂商品从日内低点逐步走高,终盘以十字星收盘。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准3月合约,受市场对马来西亚洪水灾害的担忧及马币走弱提振昨日走高,昨日国内棕榈油购销相对清淡,现货价格窄幅趋弱,因此国内走势弱于马盘, 内盘马盘棕榈油走势出现分化。

内盘棕榈油今天已经是自12月13日破位以来第7天横盘,期价呈窄幅整理,并未出现明显错列K线,多头护盘迹象明显。 若空头主力在波段性弱视格局内再无法打压令其下挫,后市则对空头有所不利。 从昨天马盘毛棕榈油3月合约的表现来看,多头已经出现迫不及待的感觉, 期价收盘于12月13日高点位置,弥补了跳空缺口,若后市站于跳空缺口的上方,则表明原来上涨短线趋势完全被恢复。

小结: 马盘内盘昨天棕榈走势出现分化,今天密切关注马盘毛棕榈油3月合约,若今天继续上攻站到缺口上方,则表明10月份以来的原上涨行情被恢复;若仅昨天昙花一现,今日再次回落下来,则表明12.13日以来的回落行情还未结束。

个人看法:强势上去则追多,弱势下来则方空。 (提醒:昨晚美盘豆油 大豆均出现不同程度下挫。马盘有低开可能)

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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