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Global Market Wrap – 27 December 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周五 油脂商品走势从分化逐步演变为背离严重

继菜籽油跌破前低之后,内盘豆油今天早盘低开也跌破10月初前低,后在多头护盘下期价略有提升,目前豆油棕榈油仍处于弱势格局下跌整理中,虽当前红K线,但完全止跌信号仍不明显。

国内现货市场豆油 棕榈油价格都有所下滑,基本面无多大变化,仅国家抛储菜籽油 与禽流感两消息利空当前内盘油脂类期货市场。

马盘毛棕榈油3月合约昨天阳K线收盘于2636令吉/吨 ,期价继续我行我素震荡上涨,跳空缺口已经完全被弥补, 整体运行于原跳空形成的岛型反转的下沿附近。

美盘豆油昨天晚间继续收阴下跌,技术形态上下破10月2日的前低后,下方已经找不到技术支撑位,弱势行情延续中。

小结: 内盘与美盘走势相似,内盘与马盘走势背离逐步严重。内盘油脂商品下跌接近尾声,下方空间已经不大,在信号没完全出现的非常时期。依然建议操作上少动多看。保持谨慎度过2013年度最后几天。 等待2014年新的开始。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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