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Global Market Wrap – 28 November 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周四 美盘停盘 油脂类继续震荡

周四商品市场多空基本面参半,无太大新意。

马来西亚棕榈油局称,11月1—20日棕榈油产量较10月的197万吨增加4.1%。 前期天气方面曾提示说马来西亚进入雨季,棕榈油产量理应减产才对,该消息的通报超出前期市场人士预期。马棕榈油出口关税由4.5%调升到5% ,12月起开始执行。短线对马盘棕榈稍微利空。

美国周四为传统“感恩节” CBOT周四到周五白天停盘, 对全球油脂市场短暂失去方向指引。

大陆内盘棕榈油周四低开后继续整理,上午盘面有短多进场接盘 ,对第四季度消费旺季和元旦春节的提前备货仍有利多预期,期价略有上涨。由于无美盘指引,内盘油脂更多表现为技术性震荡走势, 但是内盘橡胶1405合约周四出现短暂反弹迹象。总体来说内盘商品涨跌不一,失去指引下的油脂类商品无序震荡整理成为可能。

个人看法:基本面无任何新意,商品涨跌互现。仍保持昨日整体观点。今日油脂商品整理延续中,短线操作可少量多单“逢低”进场尝试接盘。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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