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Global Market Wrap – 31 December 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周二 期价整理出现反复

新华社报导,中国取消大豆和棉花的收储机制,改以直接补贴农户。据说原有的国家收储机制被外界指责扭曲市场,抬高了国内原材料成本。 中国是二商品的最大采购国,收储政策的取消,使大豆棉花价格与国际价格趋于同步。 国家保护价格的消失,对期货市场有一定利空影响。

周一内盘豆油1405高开冲高回落形成带上影线的阴K线,晚节未保,成为空头打压的主力对象。棕榈油1405合约表现稍强,期价运行在上周五大阳K线上方。今天早盘二商品低开,棕榈油多头护盘拒绝下跌,豆油表现相对依然很弱。

马盘毛棕榈油3月合约,上周5连阳后,果然出现阴K线,技术上分时图整理要求得以体现,由于还未整理到充分程度,今天仍有继续整理可能。

小结: 内盘油脂期价再次出现反复,由于中线角度市场处于复杂阶段,短线上出现这种现象在所难免。我们只有在具体操作上来规避该风险: 我们以上周五的大阳K线作为风向标, 阳K线右侧之上继续看多, 插入阳K线右上端或实体的一半以内位置仍继续买入看多。当阳K线下端被下破,短线所进多单才全部止损出局。

昨天为提醒马盘的分时整理出现阴K线,想赶在马盘开盘前发出报告,等发出后却发现标题未写—–抱歉 抱歉!

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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