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Global Market Wrap – 6 January 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

日周一 空头主导市场 期价整体下行

油脂现货市场消费旺季临近尾声,终端企业备货已告一段落,豆油商业库存继续维持在高位,需求相对显得低迷。 技术上豆油1405合约,上周五已然下破我们所设置的风向标-12月27日那根单日反转大阳K线的低点, 由于止损位被触及,多单全部果断平仓出局, 该品种下破前低已经转为看淡。

棕榈油受惠于生物燃油需求上升影响,盘中表现稍强, 国内各地24度棕榈油最新报价5920元到6150元之间,价格下滑30元左右。 在国内其他商品大跌带动下,1405合约棕榈油小幅下跌震荡抵抗中。

马盘毛棕榈油上周依托均线继续盘升,期价已来到前高附近, 考虑到整体商品市场空头气氛浓厚, 恐被其他大宗商品下跌的带动作用影响,为规避此风险,多单可适量减减仓。

小结: 商品市场空头主力主导市场,内盘年前资金出逃迹象明显,多头恋战之心虚弱,市场整体呈大跌急跌状态, 多头在操作上应把重点放在规避风险上来, 心理压力过大时,操作上可适量减仓。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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