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Global Market Wrap – 7 February 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周五 春节后首个交易日 内盘跳空高开

1月31至2月6日是大陆传统春节假期,内盘全部停盘。 在这其间, 美盘黄豆连从低位探底回升持续上涨,连续4天阳线报收。 前期表现最弱的美盘豆油,假期其间也出现筑底反弹走势, 美盘油脂类商品整体变盘,逐步走强迹象显露。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准4月合约,在中国大陆停盘其间,基本走势表现为原地踏步,期价整体变化不大, 盘中抗跌迹象比较明显, 前低波谷位置2500对其心理支撑作用初步有效,前期我们说过,只有当2500被技术下破后,下跌空间才能被打开, 难能可贵的是在大陆停盘其间,马盘毛棕榈油虽然没跟随美盘上涨, 却始终保持运行在前波谷之上。

今天2月7日农历正月初八,是假期过后内盘商品首个交易日, 油脂类商品因美盘在假期其间的持续上行,早盘开盘普遍跳空高开,高开幅度为100–200点, 前期疲软态势初步被扭转, 记得在1月30假期前最后一个交易日,我们曾建议原空单平仓了结,正是为规避长假内的不可控风险。

小结: 假期其间美盘出现反弹式上涨态势, 内盘首个交易日高开, 后市走势有变盘嫌疑,可考虑逢低买入策略。 同时密切关注美盘油脂类商品后市反弹情况。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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