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Global Market Wrap – 9 January 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周四 内盘油脂反弹 马盘补跌

内盘豆油1405合约, 在上周五时候下破12月 27日支撑位,期价已经连续4天出现下跌,短线分时图技术上有超卖现象,今天是下破长阳之后的第5天,期价短暂技术性反弹收阳,从今天早盘观察,今日的反弹依旧很弱,不足以说明近几天的下跌有结束迹象,只能以下跌过程中的短暂停顿看待。

内盘棕榈油1405合约,昨天才技术上破位,下破支撑位之后,盘中出现急跌,呈现补跌情况,今天上午短暂十字星,为延续下跌状态。

内盘橡胶,螺纹,焦炭等商品由于已经下跌多日,走势和油脂类中的棕榈油有所不同,在棕榈油上涨过程中,该类商品是持续的下跌状态,由于下跌时间过长,技术调整充分,后市该类商品确实存在震荡筑底后的技术反弹要求。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月合约,同内盘棕榈油1405合约有类似之处,也是昨天下破前波谷12月18日的支撑位,由于其他商品已经下跌好几日,而马棕榈油昨天才刚刚破位,补跌情况不可避免。

小结: 油脂类商品下破重要技术支撑位,波段性下跌延续中。 内盘豆油从时间上下破支撑早了几天,操作上平多反空后,今天出现短暂阳K线反弹,该阳K线不足为虑,仅以短暂停顿看待,原下跌未出现被终止迹象。 而内盘马盘棕榈油是昨天刚刚下破技术支撑,技术上仍有补跌要求。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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