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Global Markets Analysis – 01 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


01.08.2016周一 美盘豆油中阳上涨;内盘与马盘油脂商品短线多单跟进

上周五晚间,美盘大豆与豆油双双红盘上涨,当前美盘新大豆天气炒作延续中,由于对8月中上旬天气高温炎热的担忧加剧,对美盘油脂商品短多形成利好支持。美豆油12月合约上周五晚间的中阳K线上涨,已经收复了周一(7月25日)时候的中阴下挫失地,期价在3日横盘之后的突然走强,表明美盘油脂商品后市再现上攻意愿,后市存在走强机会。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在美盘豆油上涨提振作用下,今天周一早盘高开高走,特别是内盘棕榈油1701合约,期价已经呈现出错类的2根阳K线上攻,短线的走强意愿更为明显,对内盘油脂商品我们保持短多转强观点,在上周末空单逢低离场后,今日短线可于1701合约上反手多单进场操作。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,在上周整体期价回落整理时候,盘中多头主力的护盘迹象表现明显,期价始终倔强的顽强抵抗。考虑到美盘与内盘油脂商品的走强带动,以及美元指数的走弱影响,马盘棕榈油今天周一盘面存在走强可能,在上周末建议的前期防御性锁仓空单平仓离场操作结束后,建议今日可多单进场试盘。

小结:美盘豆油上周五正如我们预料的出现红盘中阳上涨,这将提振内盘与马盘油脂商品的后市表现,由于内盘与马盘油脂商品上周末时候的盘口语言已经提前显现出走强欲望,相信再有美盘豆油的上涨支持,内盘与马盘油脂商品今日将出现红盘上涨局面,后市存在走强机会大增。观点认为具体操作上:前期老多单继续持有,今天开盘后的第一时间内新多单可逢低进场(换月到-内盘1701合约;马盘基准10月),后市油脂商品我们转为短多观点对待。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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