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Global Markets Analysis – 01 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


01.12.2015 周二 国际货币基金组织(IMF)宣布人民币将纳入特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子

国际货币基金组织北京时间12月1日凌晨宣布:正式将人民币纳入IMF特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子,决议将于2016年10月1日起正式生效。这意味着,人民币成为继美元、欧元、日元和英镑后,第5个成为SDR篮子中的新成员,也是全球第一个新兴市场国家货币加入,中国经济;融入全球金融体系的一个重要里程碑被开启。其中SDR篮子货币中,人民币的份额为10.92%,美元比重将为41.73%,欧元30.93%,日元8.33%,英镑8.09%。人民币比重地位超过日元与英镑排名第三,人民币在全球影响力提升。后期人民币在金融市场的具体影响有待我们随后观察。

昨天周一晚间,美盘豆油1月合约小阳红盘上涨,今天亚洲电子盘继续高开运行,日K线图表上,短期均线系统已经开始上穿长期均线,期价反弹上行持续中。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,昨日周一盘中表现不佳,期价小幅下挫整理。我昨天已经提示过,在前期连续快速上涨之后的短暂的单日回落整理不会影响到短线小波段的反弹走势,今天周二早盘,期价继续高开高走,两阳夹一阴的“冲天炮”K线形成,后市继续看高一线。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,早盘追随美盘与内盘高开,上午盘中期价略有下滑,阴K线运行,期价整体依托下方均线反弹走势良好,单日的阴K线无所惧,后市仍短多看待。

小结:全球油脂商品当前短线的反弹上行走势良好,基本符合我们的整体预期研判。后市短线继续保持短多观点不变。个人观点认为多单继续持有不动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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