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Global Markets Analysis – 01 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


01.06.2017 周四 大马船运调查机构发布数据利多 但尚不能阻止回落调整行情的步伐

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周三晚间阴十字星收盘,连续7连阴后期价杀跌动能开始减弱,后期期价存在往右侧下坠式横盘走势,我们准备在本波回落整理的第8到第13个交易日之间 准备逢低多单进场埋伏(再多观察几日),继续关注美盘豆油的后市短线表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日是端午节假期过后的第一个交易日,盘面上早盘跳空低开低走,期价追随美盘豆油进行了补跌,今天周四盘面期价略微企稳十字星表现,但还不能就此就确认回落整理行情已经结束。由于内盘油脂短了2个交易日,因此上更需要多下挫徘徊震荡几天。继续关注后市表现。

马来西亚船运调查机构ITS发布数据显示:2017年5月1—–31日棕榈油出口量为131万吨,比4月份的出口量提升16%。这一消息存在利多成分。昨日周三马盘毛棕榈油基准8月红盘十字星表现,今天周四盘面又继续红盘走高,我们仍不建议追空或者抢多操作,继续场外观望,等待美盘豆油真正的止跌企稳时候。

小结:油脂类商品经过短暂杀跌之后,回落整理的短线行情仍在延续,今天虽然有部分多头主力进行护盘动作,但尚不能有明确信号表明下挫整理已经结束,手中无仓单的散户朋友莫盲目操作,继续场外观望—-等待美盘豆油更为明确的短线指引。

[SUMMARY]
• While the deep plunge of edible oils is temporarily halted, the short-term downward correction continues to brew.
• Despite stronger long interest in the market today, there is yet any clear indication that the decline is coming to an end.

[ACTION]
• Uncommitted traders are advised against taking position without deep consideration.
• We shall observe the market from the sidelines, as we await clearer signals on US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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