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Global Markets Analysis – 01 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


01.09.2016 周四 马盘棕榈油跳空低开补跌

美盘豆油12月合约,当前短线期价下挫整理已经六连阴下跌,回落整理走势较为清晰明了,在接近8月初反弹高度回落50%位置,在整理周期上接近8-13个交易日时候(费波纳茨数字周期),恐将是美盘豆油本波下蹲整理的尾声阶段(当前只运行到第7个交易日),我们短线继续保持对美盘豆油的短空思维下的回落整回抽理确认观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,昨日周三盘面中阴K线下跌,期价下坠加速继续出现,今天周四盘中又小十字星表现,内盘油脂商品的短线回落整理行情延续中,我们耐心等待后市回落整理结束信号的出现,在此之前继续短空思维对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日周三因公共假期而停盘一天,今天周四早盘低开跳空开盘,盘面上补跌迹象较为明显,马盘棕榈油的短线下挫整理行情也在延续中,我们继续保持短空观点对待。

小结:全球油脂类上短线走势上仍属于回落整理态势,下方回落幅度空间大小仍是我们首要关心的地方,后市短线我们继续关注回抽到下方那根均线位置-期价才止跌企稳,继续保持反弹上行之后的短空思维观点不变。观点认为操作上:中长期交易者多单持有,等待未来低位多单补仓机会。短线交易者无仓者观望,激进者日内短空交易,仍日内进出,空单不过夜,共同关注下方回落空间幅度。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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