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Global Markets Analysis – 02 February 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2.2.2016 周二 美盘波澜不惊走势平淡;内盘马盘期价上下易反复

美盘豆油3月合约,短线走势上较为平淡,期价整体变化不大,更多的表现为短线的横盘小幅波动,对内盘与马盘油脂商品的走势指引性不强,对美盘豆油短线走势以静制动思维方式观望为主。

大陆内怕油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,在缺少美盘方向性短线走势指引情况,内盘多空主力操作上保持谨慎,更多的表现为单日的期价上行无序波动,不能形成短线持续性连贯性的小波段行情,中国大陆传统假期春节临近了,建议暂以观望心态对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,上周四与周五受令吉特走强影响而期价连续2日下挫,昨天停盘一天后,今天周二开盘高开高走,与周五的下挫走势形成鲜明反差,表明马盘棕榈油短线上多空主力分歧较大,多空短线争夺较激烈,期价呈现拉锯式上下大幅波动,盘中情绪化交易较明显,短线上操作难度变大。

小结:美盘豆油整体走势依旧较为平淡,为小幅反弹之后的横盘震荡运行,短线的方向性指引走势表现不强。而马盘与内盘油脂商品则表现为拉锯式期价上下反复波动,短线走势上不连贯情绪化较浓,操作价值不大。临近春节前最后一个交易周,投资者后市恐减仓离场或观望气氛将成主流。长假临近我们建议操作上以观望为宜,或者仅仅短线交易。个人观点认为具体操作上:中长线交易者多单谨慎中持仓不动,以静制动心态。而短线交易者操作难度变大,以场外观望或多空日内快速进出交易为主。油脂商品短线走势模糊,可持续性操作不强。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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