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Global Markets Analysis – 02 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


02.03.2016 周三 美盘豆油昨日晚间下破60天均线的支撑

昨日晚间美盘豆油5月合约期价下跌,跌破60天均线支撑,终盘以带上下影线的中阴K线收盘于30.54一线。正如我们昨日所料-美盘豆油不排除瞬间下破60天均线的可能,此情况果然发生,短线上我们继续保持短空观点不变,等待真正的止跌企稳机会。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油 1605主力合约,今天周三盘中冲高回落,期价在抵抗情绪中延续回落整理走势,盘面走势上棕榈强而豆油弱现象依然存在,二者期价均为下破60天均线,整体走势上也强于美盘豆油,我们继续保持谨慎的短空观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,昨日期价还在60天均线上方运行,今天周三早盘受美盘豆油下跌影响,跳空低开,期价来到60天均线下方运行,虽然今天截止午盘,盘中并未出现明显的恐慌盘涌出,但我们继续保持短空观点不变。

小结:美盘豆油下破均线支撑,内盘略微抵抗,马盘追随性跟随。短线角度的油脂类商品回落整理行情仍在延续中,我继续保持短空观点不变,建议耐心等待真正的止跌企稳-回落整理结束的技术信号出现。在此之前,短线交易者空单可继续持有,也可适当逢低盘中空单减仓,(下方回落空间不会很大,一般情况下”不破不立”). 中长线周期的多单继续持有,继续关注各个品种在60天均线的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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