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Global Markets Analysis – 03 February 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.02.2015 周二 美原油短线反弹拐点出现

美原油上周五中阳上涨之后,一阳包多阴成立,昨日晚间的再次中阳上涨,令短线行情走势豁然明朗,后市的反弹行情拉开序幕,当前的短线低位拐点很可能已经出现,目前基本符合我们的预期。在时间上我们尚需要更多时日的验证。后期的反弹上行力度以及反弹空间成为我们随后关注的焦点。

美豆油昨日晚间同样中阳上涨,错列的第二根低位拔起的K线虽然还不能完全表明V型反转的成立,(没美原油明显)但反弹走势也出现一定苗头,短线上认为同样抱有超跌后反弹观点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1505合约,昨日今日连续2天红十字星收盘,期价从低位有所抬高,随上方有空头排列的均线层层压制,但短线的反弹欲望已在盘中有所体现,建议耐心等待美原油与美豆油的反弹空间打开。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月因公共假期而停盘。

小结:昨日晚间美原油与美豆油出现错列的反弹延续的雏形,特别是美原油的短线拐点可能已经成立。短线上认为对油脂类商品的触底反弹走势有较大的良好预期。建议短线以反弹观点看待。个人观点认为前期短线空单逢低出局后,下方低点接盘试仓多单可谨慎持有,建议密切关注后市美盘原油与豆油的上行力度与空间。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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