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Global Markets Analysis – 03 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.01.2017 周二 油脂商品内强外弱;马盘内盘油脂商品多单继续持有

2017年元旦假期已过,在时间历史潮流中,我们迎来了新的一年(新的开始,过去一年我们就不再多说了)。美盘豆油3月合约,在元旦假期期间,期价变化不大, 整体仍处于回落整理的尾声阶段(红色圆圈内,原上升趋势线位置震荡波动), 在国际原油震荡反弹上行的良好走势影响下,我们继续给予美盘豆油回落整理之后的反身上行观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,元旦假期后,今日3号首日开盘,今天周二盘中期价高开高走,早盘红盘表现,我们继续以短多的思维观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,今天周二早盘表现更是耀眼-早盘期价跳空高开高走,挑战2016年12月16日的3202令吉特高点欲望非常强烈,我们原来高位多单与低位多单在均摊了持仓成本之后,相信现在多单已经转为盈利(前提是前几日建议的低位多单必须按照我们制定的操作计划,低位接盘一部分,这样才能摊薄持仓成本), 后市我们继续短多思维对待。

小结:美盘豆油仍在低位震荡,我们继续耐心等待它的一根长阳上涨日K线的反身动作支持。在内盘与马盘油脂商品上的前期多单继续持仓不动,我们继续保持谨慎的B浪反弹观点不变。

[SUMMARY]
• As US soybean oil hovers at low prices, we patiently anticipate a reversal.
• We cautiously maintain our outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long position on China and Malaysia edible oils.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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