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Global Markets Analysis – 03 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.05.2017 周三 油脂类商品基本面多空消息匮乏 美豆油期价呈技术型走高

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周二晚间期价中阳红盘上涨,期价上破32.20技术部位,随着近几日期价底部逐渐抬高(今日在32.70一线波动),美盘豆油反弹走势延续中,后市短线期价面临上方60天均线阻挡,我们继续关注美豆油反弹走势的持续性可靠性与走势力度大小。

内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,继昨日高开高走之后,今日周三盘面略显疲软—–由于对美盘豆油反弹持续性与可靠性的疑虑,令多头主力未敢大力施展拳脚,继续关注美豆油后续走势。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,受助于马来西亚棕榈油出口数据强劲,近几日期价小幅反弹上涨。据马来西亚船运调查机构ITS发布最新数据显示:2017年4月份棕榈油出口量为1.125.942吨,比3月份的1.076.240吨提高4.62%. 继续短多观点对待。

小结:昨日美盘豆油中阳上涨,期价略有走高。内盘马盘油脂类商品追随性跟随,后期将继续反弹冲击日K线图表上方的空头排列的层层均线系统的压力,反弹力度恐将呈现弱势反弹走势,但我们继续保持短多观点不变。操作上:多单继续持有,关注美豆油在60天均线压力位置的表现。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil edges up, with China and Malaysia edible oils following suit.
• Although the rebound may be resisted by short interest, we maintain short-term long outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position, while paying close attention to the 60-day moving average of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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