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Global Markets Analysis – 03 November 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.11.2017周五油脂类商品短线空单继续持有

美盘豆油12月合约,连续一周来“上影线毛刺”表现——-表明多头主力短线上有上攻欲望,但遭到空头主力的打压,期价再继续上行存在一定压力。在关键技术位连续几天的阴阳十字星表现,多空主力争夺的是相当激烈,本周盘面上出现了高位的右侧横盘迹象( 略比我们所预测的时间上多争夺了2天),一旦多头主力久攻不下,上涨动能消耗殆尽,则会出现空头发力动作,我们继续保持逢高短空思路不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1801主力合约,本周期价小幅下坠整理,今天周五盘面又出现小幅下跌,内盘油脂商品短线盘中压力更为明显些,我们继续保持短空思维。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,在本周一高位十字星之后,本周走势也呈现阴阳K线交错走势,多头的上攻欲望与空头的阻击决心二种力量交织在一起,几乎不分伯仲。。。。昨日周四盘面期价的高开低走,在周四当天空头略微占先。今天周五早盘,马棕榈期价低开高走,虽然高走,但期价已经跌破了5天均线,短线的回落整理出现苗头,我们继续以反弹之后的回落整理观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油12月合约横盘波动震荡不能一直老这样持续下去,短线走势上一定会给市场一个明确答案,不出意外情况下,就在今日晚间,最迟到下周初就给出信号。 针对美盘豆油上攻动能已经有所衰竭,我们继续保持逢高阻击思维不变。具体操作上:内盘 马盘 前期多单逢高出局后的反手高位阻击空单继续持有,等待美盘豆油下破趋势线的回落整理短线行情发生。

[SUMMARY]
• Traders may pay close attention to US soybean oil December contract, as the market might have a reversal signal tonight.
• US soybean oil failed to trade any higher due to lack of the upward momentum in the market.
• We continue to remain our short outlook as the market is expected to move downward.

[ACTION]
• In China and Malaysia market, traders may continue to retain those positions and wait for US soybean oil move downward and break through the uptrend line.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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