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Global Markets Analysis – 04 May 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


04.05.2015 周一 美盘内盘开盘后上涨;马盘明日开盘

周一早盘,美盘豆油7月合约今天开盘后,亚洲电子盘阳K线走强,期价继续围绕60天线附近震荡,并未出现明显的继续下挫,前期对美盘豆油的”强势整理”整理观点得到认同。继续观察今日晚间以及明天美盘豆油的后续走势指引。

大陆内盘3天五一劳动节假期过后,今天周一开盘,豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,在节前短线强势整理之后,今天周一早盘意外红盘走高,盘面显示增仓放量上行,表明多头进场踊跃,今天的长阳K线上涨,令前几日的疲软走势一扫而光,内盘油脂商品率先引领短线的继续走高。

马来西亚5月4日因公共节日停盘,马盘毛棕榈油基准7月合约在节前下挫回落到前低下沿位置,该位置存在一定的技术支撑,考虑到美盘与内盘今日的走强,以及5月份马来西亚政府将对毛棕榈油从新免征出口关税,(4月份毛棕榈油的出口关税为4.5%),在利好消息影响下,在前低关键技术支撑位心理影响下,恐明日马盘棕榈油开盘上涨。

小结:节前我们保持长多短空观点,在4月30日收盘前我们建议长线角度的长多短空仓单锁仓不动,短线空单操作者逢低平仓空单出局安心过节,从今天盘面观察,油脂类商品又出现转强,若周二早盘,马盘毛棕榈油跟随走高的话,建议锁单的空单离场,建议后市的仍以美盘豆油7月合约的后续走势为短线方向指引。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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