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Global Markets Analysis – 05 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

05.04.2017 周三 后期油脂类商品操作重点将转移到“天气炒作”上来 后市短线空单开始逐步减仓

美国农业部(USDA)3月31日上周五发布报告:2017年度美国大豆播种面积意向报告显示将达到创纪录的8950万英亩,高于市场分析师所预测的8810万英亩。而季度库存报告显示:截止3月1日美国大豆库存为17.35亿蒲式耳,较去年同期高出13%,也高于行业分析师所预估的17亿蒲式耳。当前基本面基本明朗后(利空 双双超预期 ),美国农业部的利空情绪影响暂告一段落,后市市场将逐步将关注焦点转移到天气炒作上来。美盘豆油5月合约期价继续下挫,但短线跌幅收窄,当前期价维持在31.50一线。




• Global edible oils continue to decline, with no US soybean technical signals indicating otherwise.
• With crude oil staging a rebound, edible oils may follow suit.
• Therefore, we cautiously hold a short-term short outlook.

• Traders may reduce short positions, in anticipation of a potential rebound.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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