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Global Markets Analysis – 05 December 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.12.2014周五 空单持有等待恐慌情绪慢慢消散

美原油继续低位震荡下挫,市场恐慌情绪略有缓解但仍尚未完全消除,关于国际原油的内幕以及后市走势分析;我们在周日报告中会继续跟踪报道。

美盘豆油1月,箱体下破后由原先的支撑变成阻挡,当前期价仍在31.00-32.00箱体下沿之下运行,只要未回归箱体下沿之前,我们短线继续以疲软看待,下方的空间仍需后市时间上来验证。

大陆内盘豆油1505合约低开后上行,棕榈油1505高开后下行,二者短线走势分化,不排除存在买豆油和卖棕榈油的跨品种套利行为。但整体上来说,仍属于下探寻找支撑的过程中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,盘中虽有多头护盘,期价低开上冲到60天线处受到阻挡,当前期价在60天(2195)下方运行,60天线站不上去,个人觉得短线仍以短空看待。

小结:油脂类商品小幅下探震荡,消化吸收前几日的恐慌情绪,市场暂时稍微稳定,但余威尚未完全消除干净,此状态仍需维持一段时间,我们短线对油脂仍以疲软寻底看待。个人观点认为马盘与美盘的关键技术阻挡位未被突破前,空单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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