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Global Markets Analysis – 05 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.01.2016 周四 美盘豆油在上升通道下轨处暂受支撑;盘面显示出现蠢蠢欲动的反弹迹象

昨日周三晚间,美盘豆油3月合约,期价在原上升趋势线位置(通道下轨处)中阳红盘上涨,该位置仍存在一定的技术支撑,密切关注今日周四晚间是否能出现第二根连续的红K线,美盘豆油初露反弹苗头。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705合约,期价情绪化波动,多空主力仍纠结中, 继续等待美盘短线走势的指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,今天周四盘中高开低走,截止目前小阴K线表现。整体来说,马盘棕榈期价仍处于高位的波动震荡中(3150令吉特左右),距离前高3202距离不远,盘面多头主力仍在牢牢掌握着短线运行节奏。

小结:美盘豆油开始出现蠢蠢欲动的反弹苗头,密切关注今日晚间的具体动向(是否形成错列的第二根阳K线)。在美盘未明确给出短线方向前,内盘与马盘油脂商品继续随机波动震荡,我们短多观点保持不变。观点认为具体操作上:前期多单继续持有,耐心等待美盘后续走势指引。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil begins to show subtle sign of a possible reversal.
• Until US soybean oil shows a more certain short-term direction, China and Malaysia edible oils may follow existing trends.
• We maintain short-term long position outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold existing long position, as we patiently wait for an indication of where US soybean oil might be headed.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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