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Global Markets Analysis – 05 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.06.2017 周一 内盘主力今天出现在油脂类商品上的护盘动作

美盘豆油7月合约,上周五晚间期价瞬间下破4月11日低点31.12位置,对该位置的技术支撑效力正处于试探尾声,多空主力势必在此关键位置进行一场争夺,在该位置出现期价反复也就在所难免。今天是美盘豆油回落整理的第10个交易日,离我们此前所预计的11–13个交易日运行周期已经不远,我们继续做好心理上准备—–逢阴K线多单进场低位埋伏。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1709主力合约,今天周一早盘出现多头主力积极护盘动作(拉锯),期价早盘红盘表现,但在没有美盘明确信号前,我们暂不盲目追多操作,逢低进场更为保守可靠些,继续关注美盘豆油在31.12位置的表现(支撑住进多,毛刺下破急跌更进多)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,上周五阴K线表现,今天周一早盘继续阴K线表现—-马盘棕榈油阳阳阴阴K线的右侧横盘迹象较为突出,今天是马盘棕榈油冲高回落下挫整理的第11个交易日,明后2天就是我们多单逢低开始进场的日子,我们此刻提前做好心理准备。

小结:油脂类商品下挫整理行情运行中(短线接近尾声),由于对美盘豆油是否在前低位置 出现“极端的”下挫急跌动作的不确定性,我们暂时多观察2日,既不耽误上船机会,又不能过早上船——这时机把握较为纠结,据我个人多年的操作习惯—-我更多的是上船后才发现上早了2天(误差一般在3天内),这可能是市场总爱跟我们开一个小小玩笑。但不管怎么我个人是准备明天或者后天多单准备进场少量试盘(遇急跌最好)。

[SUMMARY]
• With the downward correction of edible oils close an end, we are still uncertain about the movement of US soybean oil.
• We shall observe the market for a couple of days to avoid getting onboard too soon.

[ACTION]
• Nonetheless, I am prepared to go long tomorrow or the day after.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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