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Global Markets Analysis – 05 May 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong

05.05.2015 周二 美盘豆油昨晚飙涨;今日马盘将补涨


库存方面,随着油脂进口量下降,大陆各港口豆油与棕榈油库存将至几个月低点, 截止5月1日,国内豆油商业库存为 62.47万吨,同比减少38.26万吨。港口棕榈油库存为39.62万吨,大幅低于去年同期的113.16万吨。大陆国内油脂商品由前期的供过于求逐渐向供需基本平衡,甚至向供应偏紧过渡。


中国大陆库存偏紧的传闻直接影响到美国期货市场,昨日晚间 美盘豆油7月合约长阳飙涨,一根长阳K线瞬间指明了短线走势方向,前期我们提到的短线”强势”整理出现结束信号,后市美盘豆油仍有技术走高要求。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,该品种前期表现就一直强于美盘 和马盘油脂商品,昨天周一节后开盘后,盘中再次出现独立走强迹象,(仅短短小幅回落整理了7日),日K线图表上自4月10日以来形成了短线3浪反弹上涨结构(1浪反,2浪强势回落整理 3浪昨天开始,当前进行中)。



This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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