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Global Markets Analysis – 05 May 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.05.2015 周四 马盘棕榈油率先止跌企稳;期价在上升趋势线位置受到支撑

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周三晚间小阳表现,期价距离下方,日K线图表上的短线上升趋势线支撑位置仅仅一步之遥,技术上观察-本波回落调整基本到位,后市在确定上升趋势线的支撑后,期价有望再回复短线上涨走势,当前我们继续把操作重点着眼于短线角度的交易思维上。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,虽然盘中走势尚未出现明显的止跌信号,但考虑到美盘豆油下方的短线回落空间已经不大,我们思维上同样提前保持谨慎心态,积极做好心理准备,来迎接下一波的操作,当前操作上我们也以波段性操作为主。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周三盘中长阳飙涨,期价创5个月来的最大单日涨幅,日K线图表上止跌迹象明显,K线组合上形成了清晰的一阳指态势(阳包阴),短线角度上给我们指明了后市操作方向。值得一提的是周二与周三的低点位置恰好是原来的上升趋势线支撑位置(2016年1月29日与 2016年3月3日,二低点的连线为短期上升趋势线,详情请见附图),对于马盘率先出现的技术信号,我们要高度给予关注,不排除后市出现反身走强。

小结:油脂类商品短线角度均线系统均为多头排列,在期价回落到下方某均线处 或者下方有强烈的技术支持位置附近-都是我们散户朋友需要密切关注的焦点,(其实从回落开始之初,我们内心就已经开始考虑下方的支撑具体在什么位置这一课题)目前市场行情已经接近我们的预期目标,后市短线逢低买入为主流操作思路, 均线多头排列下的震荡盘升是我们所期待的。观点认为具体操作上:稳健操作者准备逢低多单进场,短线激进操作者可率先多单逢低埋伏。美盘豆油7月昨日报告中所做图表的上升通道的下轨若被下破-为本次多单止损位,后市该位置若要被市场接受,则新一波的反身上行值得期待。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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