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Global Markets Analysis – 05 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.05.2017 周五 美盘豆油仍在60天均线压力位置徘徊震荡

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周四晚间期价曾一度上冲60天均线位置(32.82—32.90),终盘留上影线—–表明这第二技术压力位置仍存在阻挡,后市在该位置会出现2种短线走势可能—-1.一鼓作气发力上冲过去。2.反弹到该位置受到阻挡而再度下坠。美豆油的后市表现就显得尤为重要了,我们在保持看多思维下(第一种情况),但也要在内心深处谨防第二种情况的发生。

大陆内盘油脂商品1709主力合约,今天周五早盘期价继续窄幅波动,进一步等待美盘豆油的后续方向走势指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,低位的“对勾”小幅反弹走势延续中,截止到目前,短线的多头抵抗期价上扬走势并未出现变盘信号,同样等待美盘豆油在60天均线位置的具体表现指引。

小结:美盘豆油在60天均线位置徘徊震荡,盘面上仍存在上攻的动能,但是否上攻成功却还是个疑问—-只有美盘豆油上穿60天均线,内盘马盘油脂类商品的涨幅才会增大,我们继续关注美盘豆油的后续短线表现。操作上:前期多单继续持有,万一盘面上出现受阻后的异常风吹草动可适量在棕榈油上多单部分减仓(下周初 短线走势必定明朗)。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil is hovering at the 60-day moving average, unable to edge up.
• Trading above the 60-day moving average of US soybean oil is needed to boost China and Malaysia edible oils.
• We shall pay close attention to the short-term performance of US soybean oil.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position but prepare to reduce palm oil long position if necessary.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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