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Global Markets Analysis – 05 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.09.2016 周一 油脂商品短线走势转强

美国方面由于最新的就业数据减缓,因此对9月份美联储的加息预期减弱,美豆油开始转强,上周五晚间,美豆油12月合约在连续的阴K线之后终于长阳上涨(第8个交易日),虽尾盘期价下滑令涨幅受限,但终盘仍以带上影线的阳K线收盘,美盘尚需要震荡反复一下(夯实),今天9月5日周一是美国劳工节公共假期,美盘金融市场将休市一天,在缺少美盘豆油一天的短线走势指引,恐将多观察2日才可确认调整的结束,但我们的操作思维将过度到寻找逢低做多的机会思路。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,周一跳空高开上涨,期价显现出转强迹象,在前期短暂的“强势”回落整理之后,后市期价仍有上攻欲望,我们继续保持回落调整结束后的逢低多单进场思维,今日建议多单跟进。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,上周四低开下影收阳之后,上周五又突然跳空高开高走中阳红盘收盘-盘面瞬间转强迹象最为明显(比内盘与美盘早运行一天),多头主力不放弃任何的拉升机会,相信在多头主力的顽强抵抗下,本波短暂的回落整理将很快结束,后市期价存在走高机会。

小结:全球油脂商品短线的回落整理之后,期价开始出现扭头走强迹象,虽然理论上我们尚要多观察后期2日的盘面走势,但在马盘毛棕榈油上周五的强势特征非常明显情况下(马棕榈近期走势就非常“妖”,期价较容易出现快速反复,多头盘中抵抗情绪一直较浓厚),后市油脂商品的回落整理走势逐步临近尾声阶段,逢低盘中多单进场仍是我们的首要任务。观点认为具体操作上:中长线多单继续持有,后市还有新高。而短线交易者时刻准备选择多单进场的机会仍为主旋律,建议部分场外观望的激进型短线交易者逢盘中,阴K线时候低点进多埋伏试仓,本周可以执行该操作计划。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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