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Global Markets Analysis – 06 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


06.06.2016 周一 油脂类商品继续短多观点对待;多单持仓不动

美盘黄豆连在近2年的高位继续波动震荡,当前期价在1150一线。美盘豆油短线反弹延续中,7月合约期价仍在挑战原先的上升趋势线-在回抽关键位置时候。是阻挡?是突破?仍是我们散户朋友接下来需要密切关注的地方。个人观点仍对上破抱有很大心理预期,继续短多思维对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,短线角度的反弹上行走势延续中,其中内盘豆油1609合约期价在上周五中阳上破60天均线阻挡后,今天周一早盘继续期价走高,短线的反弹走势良好。内盘棕榈油1609合约今天周一盘中十字星表现,期价仍受阻于60天均线,似乎在等待美盘豆油在短线走势上的指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,在突破60天均线与我们前面报告中提到的3日高点连线的压制后,今天期价也小十字星表现,从整体盘面上观察-马棕榈油短线的反弹上行走势表现良好,继续短多观点对待。

小结:此前美国公布的非农数据报告显示,美国就业增长速度为5年来最慢,这在一定程度上打压美元加息预期,美元指数上周五因此长阴暴跌,而以黄金为代表的大宗商品则上行压力减轻,均出现不同程度的上涨。油脂类商品同样上行压力锐减,在未出现任何技术走坏前,我们继续短多思维对待-具体操作上:前期低位多单继续持仓不动,建议密切关注美盘在上升趋势线位置的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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