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Global Markets Analysis – 06 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


06.06.2017 周二 少量多单今日逢低进场埋伏

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周一晚间曾一度阴K线急挫,见新低30.89后,尾盘翻红收于31.29. 期价再次测试前低31.12位置的支撑效力,昨日带下影线的小阳K线结束了前期9连阴回落整理,“万花丛中一点红”。虽未见到错列的第二根阳K线,但由于美豆油从5月22日短线回落整理已经相当充分,下方回落空间不大,按照我们早期的预期,部分激进型交易者可对应于内盘 马盘油脂商品上少量多单进场试盘。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日周一盘面上红盘表现,表明有部分多头主力在积极护盘,短线角度的右侧横盘整理—-表明下方回落空间已经被封杀,今天在阴K线低点位置进多埋伏,可少量多单接盘。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,从5.22日开始的冲高回落行情演绎到今天,运行了12个交易日—–从连续持仓运行理念来讲,当我们在前期反弹高点位置平仓多单之后,就应该反手短空(因为你平仓了结手中多单,从另一个意思上来讲就已经代表看坏后市),由于日K线图表上均线上穿之后,我们主动放弃了“下挫回抽均线”确认的这波整理行情(也恰逢内盘端午节有3天停盘 无交易 ),当前马盘棕榈8月,期价在2480一线运行,依照价格运行轨迹,该位置也到了逢低平空减仓的时候,从另一个侧面讲也到了可少量多单进场的时刻。

小结:油脂类商品短线下挫回落整理运行到尾声阶段,我们不再盲目下看多少空间,今日激进型交易者可部分多单低位进场埋伏—–由于是“左侧”交易,持仓量轻仓即可(谨防急挫)。对于稳健型交易者来说—–今日暂不进场,待美盘豆油出现错列的第二根阳K线之后“右侧”交易,更为稳妥。我个人思路是先左侧抢一部分,待右侧时候再加一部分,每个人操作手法习惯不同,可根据自己脾气性格区别对待。

[SUMMARY]
• With the downward correction of edible oils coming to an end, we shall no longer gauge the depth of the decline.

[ACTION]
• Aggressive traders may initiate long position.
• Passive traders may stay of out of the market today and wait for a signal to emerge.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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