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Global Markets Analysis – 06 March 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


06.03.2017 周一 油脂类商品超跌之后的反弹上行走势延续中

美盘豆油5月合约,上周初“一指定乾坤”瞬间指明了短线走势方向,中线超跌之后的技术性报复反弹行情随即展开,盘面走势瞬间明朗,这期间虽有“生物柴油”基本面的支持,但技术型走势早已经悄然更早一步暴漏出痕迹。当前的短线反弹动能仍存,后市继续看高一线。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1705主力合约,今天周一盘面继续红盘表现,内盘追随性反弹走势延续中,虽然期价涨幅小于美盘 马盘,但短线的反弹上行态势未发生改变前,我们继续保持短多思路不变。

马盘油脂商品棕榈油基准5月,今天周一盘中继续跳空高开高走,短线走势5天内5连阳——短线的反弹走势更加明确,并且期价的上涨幅度也令人欣喜(远强于内盘),我们继续保持反弹思维观点对待,多单继续持有。

小结: 全球油脂类商品超跌之后的短线反弹走势延续中,盘面一目了然(当局者迷旁观者清,事前混沌,事后明朗),我们不再过多语言分析描述,继续保持反弹观点不变。具体操作上:前期所有多单继续持有,后市关注焦点继续放在反弹的高度与盘面力度上。同时关注美盘豆油的后续表现。

[SUMMARY]
• As global edible oils stage a short-term upward reversal following a steep decline.
• We maintain our view on the upward reversal.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain their long positions and pay close attention to the performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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