Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 07 August 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.08.2017周一油脂商品部分多头主力护盘—–“抵抗性”下挫整理行情延续中

美盘黄豆连短线回落整理延续中,美盘豆油12月合约紧紧追随美豆下挫走势,当前期价靠近下方40天均线处,我们继续以下挫整理观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,今天周一早盘小阳K线红盘表现,盘中存在部分短多主力的护盘动作,后市在越靠近下方均线支撑地方,这种护盘动作还会发生———–但不会更改短线下挫态势,而逢低空单离场仍是我们本周主要任务。

马来西亚棕榈油局8月10日(周四)将公布7月份棕榈油产量出口以及库存数据—–我个人预测,马来西亚毛棕榈油产量与库存数据将会有小幅增加,但考虑到周边市场(特别是中国大陆当前棕榈油库存量相对偏低),利多利空 基本面上不确定性还是比较多,我们要密切关注后期基本面情况的变化。对马盘毛棕榈油基准10月来说,从上周初期价冲高回落后,当前短线下挫整理走势延续中,继续关注下方回落空间大小。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线角度的回落整理行情延续中,部分盘面上的护盘动作尚不能阻挡住下跌步伐节奏,本周我们的主要任务是——逢低空单离场操作,因此上,下方回落空间有多大?期价会在那条均线位置受到支撑?这将成为我们关注的焦点。具体操作上:前期被套空单仍继续持有,上周新进空单在摊低持仓成本后,随时保持遇急跌空单平仓了结的心理提前准备,待下方某位置受到真正支撑时我们再考虑平空翻多操作,目前回落整理尚不够充分,我们继续保持回落整理谨慎观点。

[SUMMARY]
• Downtrend of global edible oils continues, as a downward correction is in progress.
• Although the market is supported by long interest, the downward correction is unlikely to be affected.
• Our short-term short outlook remains.

[ACTION]
• In this week, traders may seek opportunities to close-out all short positions when the prices are low.
• Traders may switch short to long when the prices are supported at low.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock