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Global Markets Analysis – 07 February 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.02.2017 周二 油脂商品成交清淡 市场观望情绪较浓

美盘豆油3月合约,上周五2.3日当天长阴下跌,昨日2.6日周一盘中又中阳上涨,期价呈阴阳K线交错震荡,中线下挫之后的“寻支撑酝酿反弹拐点”短线走势仍在进行中,昨日我们报告中提到的33.00一线纯技术理论支撑价格,尚不知能否见到,盘中观察美盘豆油走势—–若此刻 此价位,美盘豆油就反身上行也不是不可能。(是急挫一下考验支撑位后再反弹?还是不到下方支撑位置,差别一小段距离而就此反弹?我们尚不能明确认定)

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1705主力合约,前面我们说过,该品种由于假期停盘而少了几个交易日,在整理不充分情况下,内盘下挫补跌的情绪还是比较严重,内盘隐隐一种延续下跌走势要求。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,一边是美盘有上涨欲望 ,一边是内盘存在补跌要求—–马棕榈夹二者中间,略显左右为难,造成马棕榈期价呈现跳跃式波动,期价忽上忽下,散户操作难度较大。

小结:三地油脂商品短线走势分歧仍然较大,短线盘面信号的不统一,令统一操作难度变的相对有些困难。从整体盘口语言来说,美盘,马盘油脂商品向上的欲望比较强烈,仅仅是内盘一个品种略有走软拖累嫌疑,我们把这种情绪略微综合一下—多等内盘三两个交易日,待内盘下挫整理更充分些,我们再建议逢低多单进场埋伏,当前盘面也只有这种操作建议更为合理一些。再耐心观望一下吧。

[SUMMARY]
• The divergence of US, China and Malaysia edible oils deepens, providing uneven short-term signals.
• Generally, US and Malaysia edible oils are showing a stronger upward force, whereas China edible oil begins to show fatigue.

[ACTION]
• Traders for wait for 2 to 3 days for the downward correction of China edible oils to consolidate.
• Traders may prepare for an opportunity to enter long position when price level is reasonably low.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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