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Global Markets Analysis – 07 January 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.01.2016 周四 美盘豆油下挫;内盘马盘抵抗性跟随

国际原油价格持续下跌,大背景后面情况复杂。其中美盘原油连续,短线技术走势已经形成破位下跌,后市下方的具体技术支撑位已然找不到,短线形式很不乐观。

美盘豆油3月合约短线走势也呈下坠走势,盘面表现疲软。期价当前下挫到60天附近,继续考验该位置的技术支撑。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,昨日盘中中阴下跌后,今天周四盘中抵抗性整理,虽然期价下跌幅度较小,但在美盘原油与美盘豆油持续疲软情况下,我们继续保持回落短空看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,在美盘油脂商品疲软走势下,马盘棕榈盘中下行抵抗性走势较强,期价呈红盘整理状运行,期价在日K线图表上多头排列的均线系统支持下,多头主力盘中积极护盘迹象明显。

小结:美盘油脂商品短线下挫走势明显,而内盘与马盘短线走势略强,二者走势上出现些许分化。我们继续保持对油脂商品短线看淡。但考虑到内外盘走势的差异,我们短线多单出局后并未建议反手短空的激进操作模式,也是基于这种考虑。观点认为操作上:长线操作者多单持仓不动,中线操作者多单谨慎持有,短线操作者平仓出局后暂时场外观望,无仓一身轻也是一种洒脱。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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