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Global Markets Analysis – 07 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.06.2016周二 油脂类商品反弹上行态势良好;继续短多思维对待

美国农业部消息:美国大豆当前最新农作物播种面积达到85%,基本上播种工作接近尾声阶段,后期的天气炒作情况将成为主流。在4月份阿根廷的暴雨影响,对大豆产量预期下降以及当前阿根廷与巴西大豆作物供应紧张情况均支持美盘豆油期价上涨,美黄豆的反弹上行延续中。美盘豆油7月合约-期价连续几天来在趋势线位置裹足不前,市场仍在积蓄做多能量,我们继续关注美盘豆油在该技术位的表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,今天周二早盘,内盘棕榈油1609合约期价上穿60天均线的技术阻挡,期价站于60天均线之上。至此内盘油脂商品中,豆油与棕榈油期价均双双反弹至均线上方,短线的反弹上行走势良好,继续短多思维对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,今天周二早盘高开低走小阴K线表现,这与马来西亚令吉特汇率走强有很大关系,不排除有部分短线获利多头减仓兑现筹码。马盘棕榈当前期价仍站于前天我们几次提到的高点连线的上方,在这个关键技术位是我们也需要稍微谨慎的地方,只要期价不下破该位置2630一线,我们继续短多观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油仍在积聚做多人气挑战趋势线的阻挡,大陆内盘油脂商品反弹上行走势良好,马盘棕榈油期价略有回落。整体来说全球油脂类商品短线角度的反弹上行仍在延续中,尚未出现明显的技术走坏迹象,我们继续前期的短多观点不变。 观点认为操作上:前期低位多单继续持有,继续关注美盘豆油的后续表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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