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Global Markets Analysis – 07 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.09.2016 周三 油脂类商品多单继续持有;不被单日的小幅整理干扰

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周二晚间意外期价下滑,白天亚洲电子盘的涨幅被抹杀,终盘以带上引线的小阴K线收盘,表明美盘豆油的反身上行还存在一定压力,多头主力尚有一定的心理顾虑,但在日K线图表上,下方多头排列的均线系统的有力支撑下,我们要坚定信心,给它多一点点时间积聚做多热情,对美豆油继续保持短多思维。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在连续3天红盘反身上行之后,由于没有得到美盘豆油昨日晚间的支持,今天周三盘面出现期价小幅滑落以小阴K线表现,我们不被单日的期价下跌所干扰,继续反弹观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日周二盘中见高点2662令吉特,距离前高2669仅仅7令吉特之差,终盘以小阴K线收盘,今天周三盘面继续小阴K线表现-在临近前高位置,在三天快速上涨之后,市场投资人心理上有些许担忧情绪是难以避免的,毕竟前几次期价均是从该高位掉落下来,适当的期价下挫整理,洗出意志不坚定的部分多头,顺便积蓄一下市场做多人气,最终挑战突破前高,我们对该观点继续保持不变,多单继续持有(别听马来西亚方面分析人士诉说对棕榈油产量增加担忧什么什么的言论;别忘记他们在马棕榈油2000令吉特以下时候还是疯狂看空的)。

小结:内盘与马盘油脂商品在连续三天反身上涨之后,由于昨日晚间美盘豆油在短线走势上未红盘上涨支持,今天周三盘面上出现期价下滑迹象,我们不被单日的阴K线表现所干扰,继续以反身之后的反弹上行观点对待,特别是马盘棕榈油近期表现为领头羊,期价敢于几次临近前高2669一线,表明对该高点的突破是多头主力始终念念不忘的强烈意愿,我们继续追随该市场意愿走势。观点认为操作上:中、 长、短各周期多单继续持有,密切关注美盘豆油的后续走势支持。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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