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Global Markets Analysis – 08 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.08.2016 周一 全球油脂商品短线反弹上行延续中

美盘豆油12月合约,期价依旧保持震荡上行走势,虽然截止到目前上涨幅度不理想,但我们短线角度的短多观点保持不变。从日K线图表上画图分析,2016年4月21与6月10日高点连线-为本波二浪整理的下降压力线,从图形上观察,本波美豆油的反弹上行第一目标压力大概在31.90一线会出现空头主力的阻挡,我们密切关注该高点时候美豆油的具体表现(后市短线只有先突破了这个技术阻挡才能形成中线角度的继续上行)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,上周五时候内盘油脂商品出现日内的中阴K线下跌整理,今天周一早盘,豆油与棕榈油双双低开高走,期价红盘表现,上周五的失地逐步被收回,我们报告中提到对周五的阴K线不必过于担忧,在今天盘面上得到验证,继续短多思维对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,上周五同样出现单日的回落整理,而今天周一早盘期价又继续高开高走,短线的反弹上行走势保持良好,盘中两阳夹一阴K线组合出现,表明短线反弹上行动能充足,继续多单持有。另外,马来西亚棕榈油局(MPOB)将在8月10日本周三公布7月份棕榈油产量、库存以及出口数据,届时多单略加小心一些,谨防报告中不利因素对期货价格带来压力(谨防产量与库存数字的增加而对盘面走势带来的不利影响)。

小结:当前短线角度全球油脂类商品反弹上行走势良好,盘中未出现任何技术变盘信号,我们散户朋友继续保持短多思维对待,观点认为具体操作上:在反弹动能未衰竭前,前期新老多单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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