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Global Markets Analysis – 08 February 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

08.02.2017 周三 美盘 马盘 油脂商品上攻欲望比较强烈 内盘受到提振



马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,昨日周二盘中期价高开低走,今天周三盘中跳空高开高走,马盘棕榈油期价仍呈现出跳跃式“脉冲”走势(像脉搏一样 咚 咚 咚跳跃运行)—从今天周三盘面观察,马棕榈油的上攻欲望非常强烈。这与当前马来西亚基本面情况分不开—当前2月份仍属于马棕榈季节性减产周期内,棕榈油产量下降的良好预期以及棕榈油出口量的提高,这将导致马来西亚棕榈油总库存随之下降。同时马币令吉特的疲弱,令棕榈油对国外买家来说更具有吸引力。在本周末晚些时候,马来西亚棕榈油局将公布一系列最新数据,据当前此刻分析,其中可能利多情绪会更浓厚一些。


• The divergence of global edible oil prices in the last few days makes creating a uniform strategy difficult.
• Based on the observation of the market on Wednesday, long interest is considerably strong which encourages us to abandon our original plan of taking long position at a low price.

• Aggressive traders may enter small number of long position to follow the trend.
• Passive traders may wait for clearer signals before entering the market.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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