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Global Markets Analysis – 08 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.01.2015 周四 油脂类商品短线反弹上涨

美原油下探寻支撑进行中,中短线观察下挫基本到位,(如果没特殊情绪化国际纷争)恐技术性支撑对后市影响起决定性作用,美原油下方空间被压缩收窄,下方急挫时候恰好是多盘接单时机。

美豆油受长期上升趋势线支撑影响(月K线图表),期价近期始终维持在30.00-31.00上方,若该位置被多次验证支撑有效后,后市反转上行潜力巨大。我们对美豆油在趋势线附近接盘多单的可操作性继续保持乐观。短线上美盘豆油有上冲34.00上箱体技术要求。

马盘毛棕榈油周四惯性反弹上涨,盘中上行力度较强,一马当先挑战了2014年11月3日的前高点,期价在此之上,我们短线仍以看多对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油主力合约1505,周四早盘期价小幅上涨,特别是棕榈油1505,期价已经反弹到日K线图表上;原空头排列的均线系统中的60天线处,若60天线被向上攻破,则短线上行态势可期。

小结:周四早盘全球油脂商品出现上涨,短线角度的反弹上行走势有望得到延续。个人建议前期短线解盘多单继续持有。中长线激进操作者逢低解盘多单持有,中长线稳健操作者待美豆油上破34.00上箱体的阻挡后多单跟进。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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