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Global Markets Analysis – 08 November 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.11.2016 周二 油脂类商品内强外弱;少量多单跟进试盘

美盘原油短线的下挫整理延续中,美盘豆油12月合约的回落整理也在进行,今天在亚洲电子早盘,美盘豆油期价出现走高迹象,连续的2根错列阳K线的出现,表明美豆油又出现走强的转机。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在昨日周一红盘报收之后,今天周二早盘期价继续走高,盘中反身继续走强的欲望相当强烈,特别是棕榈油1701合约,期价更是创出新高,油脂类商品内强外弱迹象较为明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,今天周二盘中也追随内盘油脂商品出现走强迹象,一根中阳K线的出现,令棕榈油短线走势瞬间变得坚挺起来,大有回落调整结束信号的出现苗头。

小结:今天11月8日-是美国大选投票日,近1亿美国选民将在这一天前往投票站投下自己神圣的一票,选出美国第58届总统。共和党总统候选人特朗普和民主党总统候选人希拉里也将迎来“终极大考”,谁能获得半数以上的选举人票,谁就能最终登顶总统宝座。这一重要政治事件恐要影响到今天的全球金融市场,金融市场大幅剧烈波动看来是不可避免了。对我们关心的油脂类商品来说-今天周二盘面上出现了些许短线新的变盘信号,特别是内盘油脂商品率先出现走强,鉴于今天盘面特点-我们建议追随油脂商品市场新的走势,部分短线多单紧急跟进做多,初期单量不要太重,适量仓单试盘便可。后市关注今夜晚间美盘豆油是否支持内盘油脂商品的走强。

[SUMMARY]
• Global financial markets are bracing for shocks that may come out of the US Presidential elections.
• Edible oils are showing signals of short-term upward reversal, especially China edible oils.

[ACTION]
• Traders may follow the trend by adding some short-term long positions to portfolio, in suitable amounts to test the market.
• Pay close attention to the performance US soybean oil to gauge the uptrend of China markets

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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