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Global Markets Analysis – 08 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.09.2016 周四 耐心等待油脂类商品做多热情聚集

国际原油价格近期反弹,纽约原油昨日晚间期价中阳红盘上涨,短线的反弹行情延续中(长线角度为震荡筑大底)。美盘豆油12月合约,昨日晚间十字星收盘(即未支持也未反对),期价仍在徘徊震荡中积聚做多能量,有下方均线的支撑,我们继续保持短多观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,连续三天反弹上行之后,在美盘未出现有力支持前期下,内盘油脂商品开始出现反弹(停顿)迹象,只要内盘油脂商品期价不出现大的回落,我们就继续保持短多思维,耐心等待美盘豆油的支持。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,在连续3天长阳快速上涨之后,出现2天的小阴K线回落,今天周四盘面又延续小阴十字震荡,在没有美盘与内盘的大力支持下,马棕榈单个品种的挑战前高显得略有信心不足。马盘棕榈油近期期价波动较为剧烈,表明在前高一线多空主力暗中厮杀争夺较为凶猛,由于基本面多空因素均存在,多空主力对后市期价方向分歧较大。而我们不受其干扰,继续短多思维对待,耐心等待向上突破的这一时刻。

小结:全球油脂商品短线走势出现犹豫徘徊情绪,期价在震荡徘徊中上下两难,打破该僵局需要一定的能量-我们散户朋友继续等待做多人气的聚集,继续保持短多思维观点,不能盘中无序操作,前期中长短线多单继续持有,给市场一点时间做出明确的短线方向指引,以静制动的按兵不动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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