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Global Markets Analysis – 09 December 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


09.12.2014 周二 美原油再创新低

昨日晚间美原油期价再度下跌,当前已经下滑到62.00美元一线,中短线的惯性下行延续中,周日报告中我们所分析的下方强支撑位(上升趋势线位置)为50.00位置,是否真的下挫到该技术位,目前尚无法判断,当前价格已经对非传统原油开采公司造成巨大冲击。短线上我们继续看淡国际原油走势。

美盘豆油1月合约,昨日晚间也从日图表上的箱体下沿掉落,期价重归32.00之下,由于月K线图表长期上升趋势线正好处于30.00-31.00左右支撑,因此美豆油当前走势较为纠结,抛开长线角度单从短线来说,我们对美豆油仍需以疲软看待。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1505主力合约,周二早盘小幅低开低走,日图表上均线系统层层压制,在全球油脂商品整体疲软状况下,内盘豆油1505合约近几日的探底回升令人怀疑,今天的下挫再度证明短线仍需保持看空观点。

马盘毛棕榈油2月当前为基准合约,图表走势与1月相似,昨日受60天线的技术阻力位压制高开低走下滑终盘以阴K线收盘,今天周二早盘,期价追随外围油脂市场的走弱而低开,期价仍处于我们提到的2个关键技术价位之间运行。

小结:全球油脂商品短线上仍属于疲软态势,我们继续保持短空观点不变,内盘与马盘 盘中的小幅走高可以忽略。考虑到美盘豆油的短线与长线之间的纠结情绪,在当前期价水平恐仍震荡一段时间。个人建议短线空单继续持有,后市遇盘中急跌可适量空单部分减持。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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