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Global Markets Analysis – 09 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


09.06.2017 周五 美盘豆油中阳上涨 短线反弹雏形拉开序幕

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周四晚间出现了期待中的“中阳上涨”(恰好是5月22日开始下挫整理之后的第13个交易日),回落整理之后的“低位反弹迹象”出现苗头,至于反弹高度与力度仍有待我们继续盘中观察——-我个人观点:不妨先以弱势反弹对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油 1709主力合约,今天周五盘面追随美盘豆油,期价早盘高开高走红盘表现,一改前2日的颓废走势,继续低位酝酿反弹观点对待,部分激进型交易者可适当补仓多单。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,受马来西亚棕榈油产量增加与穆斯林斋月过半需求减弱以及国际原油价格下跌不利影响,马盘棕榈油周三周四盘面曾出现过一个急挫动作(期价仅下挫到前低位置附近,恰好该位置是多单接盘技术位置),今天周五盘面受美盘豆油内盘油脂走强影响,早盘跳空高开,稳健型交易者可适量多单跟进(恰好误差2天)。

小结:美盘豆油低位反弹出现走强迹象,内盘马盘油脂商品后市恐将追随性走高,我们继续保持短多反弹观点不变。具体操作上:激进型交易者前2日埋伏进的多单继续持有,并且今日可适量多单加仓。而 稳健型交易今日可适量多单跟进,后市油脂商品存在反弹走强机会,其中反弹高度与力度有待于继续盘中观察,后市转为短多反弹观点看待。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil shows sign of a rebound; China and Malaysia edible oils may follow suit.
• We outlook remains: short-term long position.
• The focus now is to observe the strength of the rebound.

[ACTION]
• Aggressive traders who went long 2 days before may retain or increase their position.
• Passive traders may go long today.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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