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Global Markets Analysis – 1 August 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


8.1 周五 轻仓 设止损 持仓不动

今天周五,在日图表上均线系统空头排列下的油脂类商品,受上方层层均线压制下,反弹动作迟迟未能展开,盘中明显感觉上方压力重重,短线角度的实质性向上突破动能不足。随着时间推移,美盘黄豆连和美豆油受中线下降趋势影响下,仍存在向下突破的可能性,这点要引起我们的警惕,行情如水,会沿阻力最小方向流动的特性,既然本周未能出现我们预期的向上动作发生,我们思维上就需要提前警惕起来,防止行情走出不利于我们持仓的方向。

今天内盘油脂商品豆油1501阴盘下跌;棕榈油阳盘小涨;马盘毛棕榈油高开高走中阳。整体来说内盘和马盘的油脂商品,短线仍属于震荡平台走势,盘中无明显方向性动作,实质性行情无结果。

小结:美盘豆油上方压力重重,积重难返,盘中向上短线突破不见信号,向上不见动作我们就要警惕向下的可能。这点我们要在思维上提前做出思想准备。具体操作上我们近期已经说的很明白了,向上突破追多,向下突破7月23日低点多单止损,不上不下持仓不动,目前仍保持此操作观点。密切预防美盘豆油久盘不动转为向下突破的倾向可能。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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