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Global Markets Analysis – 1 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


01.06.2015 周一 美盘豆油飙涨

上周五晚间,国际原油出现走强,其中美盘原油连续中阳K线上涨,期价临近近期牛皮震荡的上沿位置,若区间上沿被向上突破,后期短线还有技术走高可能。

周五晚间,美盘豆油7月合约长阳飙涨,创近期最大单日涨幅,期价瞬间来到前高位置(5月15日),盘中补涨信号明显。这根长阳K线已经非常明显指明短线的后市走势方向将向上突破,个人继续看好美盘豆油。

周一大陆早盘,豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约红盘上涨,短线的反弹走势依旧较为明显,基本符合我们的预期。特别是1509棕榈油,期价已经上破5月6日高点 5206,若后市短线能站该位置之上,则个人更看高一线。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月合约,今天周一早盘跳空大幅高开,前期5月12日的高点已经一跃而过,盘中技术阻挡被突破,短线盘面表现强势,继续短多看待。

补充:印度尼西亚5月29日周五消息,将继续维持6月份的毛棕榈油出口关税为零,马来西亚政府也将维持6月份的零出口关税,这对后期棕榈油出口形成利多影响。

小结:美盘豆油7月在连续四日在下方60天均线处受到支撑,上周五晚间的长阳飙涨,瞬间给油脂商品短线走势指明了方向,后市仍存在上攻欲望,建议散户朋友继续以短多观点看待后期走势。个人认为中长线多单继续乐观持有不动。短线多单乐观持有,待个品种前高被向上突破后,短多可部分加仓多单。建议密切关注美盘豆油后市在前高位置的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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